#TrackSochi: Statistical hypothesis vs. real life

An Olympic medal is the highest achievement most athletes can gain in their respective sport. Statistically speaking, only about 3% of the 2,400 athletes at this year’s Winter Olympics will receive a medal in their chosen event.

Using this percentage, if all of the athletes in Sochi stood an equal chance of medaling for their country, what would the medal counts look like? In today’s installment of the #TrackSochi blog series, the TrackVia team broke down each country’s chance of earning medals based purely on the size of their delegation.

The TrackVia graph below illustrates what those medal counts would look like for each country using 3% evenly over all athletes. If you’re curious how this hypothetical situation stacks up to real life check out the official Sochi medal count.

tracksochi_medal_hypothesis